Green dreams live on, but have we truly woken up?

Article date:21 October 2010

Written by:Tobias Parker

The signal is clear - the low carbon economy and dealing with climate change is an aspirational theme that runs throughout the Comprehensive Spending Review. 

It is the one area that is targeted for significant growth both through domestic and international policy and expenditure, albeit from a relatively low base. 

In the UK, the Feed in Tariff is largely maintained; Carbon Reduction Commitment will be pragmatically overhauled allowing businesses which are meant to participate to actually participate; the Green Deal will work to deliver energy efficiency in homes; and even the once-vulnerable Renewable Heat Incentive is in tact with details to be announced.

The international development budget is linked to climate change mitigation and adaptation in developing countries. It is labelled as spending to promote long term, structural growth in the UK economy.

It is interesting to note that so far government has not sought to deflect attention from the drastic reduction in welfare spending onto this issue. It's almost running in the background, but don't expect that to last.

When finally the coalition government does start to point towards it in order to demonstrate a social conscience, there is the risk that political points will be sought by those championing the welfare state. The government may come under pressure to roll back this more strategic spending in order to deal with the here and now of a rise in homelessness or reducing standards of living trumpeted by the tabloid media. Fortunate, perhaps, that the current leader of the opposition was once Secretary of State for the Department of Energy and Climate Change.

It will take steely political nerves to hold this course, particularly as success is far from guaranteed. Not to do so would be to shirk the responsibility of the current generation in setting a direction for future generations to enjoy a decent standard of living not decimated by the effects of climate change.  Sir Nicholas Stern's warnings have not gone away. It will not be pretty or pleasant for many now, and issues of equitability are real. Yet it is necessary to avoid a far messier future.

And yet does it amount to a fundamental shift to the low carbon economy? Does the review put us on course to avoid that darker future? Growth of the wider economy is the goal, yet the wider economy is currently polluting the atmosphere.

The capital injection into the nascent Green Investment Bank, coming in at £1bn with more promised from the sale of government assets, is far lower than the call by the Aldersgate Group for £4-6bn over a four year period in order to unlock the hundreds of billions of pounds of private sector investment required.

Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is there as a major capital project, but E.ON, which were potential delivery partners, have just walked away from the Kingsnorth CCS project. An ominous sign, perhaps, of private sector engagement with government expenditure.

While we may breathe a sigh of relief that the green shoots of commitment that started in the dying days of the previous government haven't been squashed, it's far from the fundamental overhaul of an economy from one reliant on fossil fuels to something far cleaner.

If this budget is about making tough choices now for the future, maybe we should have been tougher. Or when the economy is in a less fragile state, we would encourage whichever government is in power to take as brave and radical a view of the tax system to ensure that the costs associated with the use of fossil fuels is fully accounted for and distributed fairly.

That, plus the spending review, would form a holistic approach to tackling climate change through fiscal policy and truly create the economic foundations upon which to shape a cleaner society.

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